Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.179758 0.202577 0.226605 0.253735 0.283460 0.314980 0.350873
2025-05-04 0.149681 0.180533 0.214776 0.255411 0.302112 0.353902 0.415466
2025-05-11 0.129762 0.166022 0.208132 0.260233 0.322521 0.394142 0.482237
2025-05-18 0.115797 0.156200 0.205042 0.267711 0.345204 0.437068 0.553310
2025-05-25 0.100543 0.142719 0.195697 0.266035 0.355768 0.465142 0.607122
2025-06-01 0.088550 0.131857 0.188224 0.265440 0.366759 0.493356 0.661430
2025-06-08 0.078471 0.122307 0.181315 0.264540 0.376608 0.519828 0.713867
2025-06-15 0.072171 0.117215 0.179701 0.270126 0.394672 0.556966 0.780693
2025-06-22 0.065047 0.110133 0.174591 0.270275 0.405014 0.583936 0.834740
2025-06-29 0.058770 0.103620 0.169635 0.270041 0.414416 0.609554 0.887364
2025-07-06 0.053277 0.097723 0.165012 0.269764 0.423399 0.634531 0.939493
2025-07-13 0.049222 0.093681 0.162770 0.272640 0.436707 0.665576 1.000470
2025-07-20 0.046364 0.091473 0.163365 0.280050 0.457292 0.708052 1.079461
2025-07-27 0.042526 0.087215 0.160385 0.281735 0.469392 0.738817 1.142917
2025-08-03 0.039772 0.084556 0.159729 0.286884 0.486729 0.777466 1.218459
2025-08-10 0.037815 0.083122 0.160934 0.294936 0.508655 0.823288 1.305346
2025-08-17 0.034287 0.078403 0.156233 0.293098 0.515107 0.846427 1.359905
2025-08-24 0.031313 0.074410 0.152444 0.292441 0.523205 0.872042 1.418514
2025-08-31 0.028581 0.070590 0.148643 0.291459 0.530592 0.896613 1.475991
2025-09-07 0.027105 0.069157 0.149001 0.297499 0.549385 0.938879 1.560663
2025-09-14 0.024956 0.066080 0.146093 0.297658 0.558473 0.966360 1.623617
2025-09-21 0.022949 0.063075 0.143080 0.297404 0.566749 0.992659 1.685226
2025-09-28 0.021114 0.060239 0.140162 0.297103 0.574826 1.018723 1.746911